ike analytics · open evidence

The Receipts

The standing disclosure record for “The Meter: Spread is Signal”.

This page holds every artifact behind the article. Pre-registrations, raw scores, run logs, the hostile review, the seeded rigs, the figure. Each file is hashed and downloadable below, so you can check that what you read is what ran. The chain extract is a selective segment of a tamper-evident witness chain held by the operator, covering only the experiment windows. One honest line before you dig in: receipts show what ran, never why.

The package

filewhat it issizesha-256
PREREG-MOTOR-01.mdpre-registration, incl. Amendment 16.2 KB1b59e77b0251b5fe…
RESULT-2026-08-27.mdMOTOR results, incl. Correction 15.8 KB30bf00d30d841f52…
motor-01-results.jsonraw scores, MOTOR-0138.6 KBc24b0c7dd1a21021…
motor-01.logrun log, MOTOR-0112.4 KBb8d1b0a0cf1e7a9c…
motor-02-results.jsonraw scores, MOTOR-0257.4 KBb0a2537310baf22a…
motor-02.logrun log, MOTOR-024.7 KBe685770e5680cb91…
motor-01.pyseeded rig, MOTOR24.8 KBf90f7580b1abb216…
EVIDENCE-2026-08-24.mdevidence summary, saturation runs4.7 KB0094c33f715eb244…
RESULT.mdsaturation result writeup5.7 KBedd57b0d803e854e…
evidence-hashes.jsonoriginal hash record2.2 KBa708abfd9406655a…
saturation-predicts.jsonraw scores, saturation1.1 KB927fef7502dc7132…
saturation-predicts.logrun log, saturation1.5 KB7ec2abbc6dafc00e…
saturation-predicts.pyseeded generator, saturation10.3 KB1a0064e66b7c1fb0…
run2-stdout.logrun log621 B602bc80b5037be37…
run3-stdout.logrun log1.4 KB82373367a89250ef…
run4-qwen.logrun log, qwen1.9 KB7afcb5829df5b773…
run5-gemma.logrun log, gemma1.7 KB516a00b2e805862f…
run6-gemma-temp1.logrun log, gemma temp 11.7 KB704bf920d980c470…
run7-glm.logrun log, glm1.9 KB861031732baae8d3…
run8-deepseek.logrun log, deepseek1.4 KB4e84540b7e088136…
run9-haiku.logrun log, haiku1.7 KB8bbbc52cde557ee9…
run10-sonnet.logrun log, sonnet1.5 KBb131846ff2f3a049…
fig-saturation-scatter-2026-08-27.pngfigure, saturation scatter95.1 KB23780200dbffbb21…
PEER-REVIEW-SOL-2026-08-24.jsonhostile peer review5.9 KBc3be94c0ab14cace…
chain-receipts-extract.jsonchain extract, two windows417.7 KB250224d3b4a5c477…
MANIFEST-sha256.jsonthis manifest, hashes every file above2.3 KBf4f09d8dd7d077db…

Reproduce it

python tools/saturation-predicts.py 3 <model> python tools/motor-01.py 40 <model> 1,2,3,4,5

Instances regenerate from fixed seeds on any machine; the rigs above are the exact generators that produced the raw scores.